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Result of search for "vavrus":
Notaro, M., A. Zarrin, S. Vavrus, and V. Bennington (2013). Simulation of heavy lake-effect snowstorms across the Great Lakes Basin by RegCM4: Synoptic climatology and variability. Monthly Weather Review, accepted.
CCR #1131. CCR #1131 PDF
Vavrus, S., M. Notaro, and A. Zarrin (2012). The role of ice cover in heavy lake-effect snowstorms over the Great Lakes basin as simulated by RegCM4. Monthly Weather Review, in press, accepted.
CCR #1085. CCR #1085 PDF
Francis, J. A., and S. J. Vavrus (2012). Evidence linking Arctic amplification to extreme weather in mid-latitudes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L06801, doi:10.1029/2012GL051000, published.
CCR #1084. CCR #1084 PDF
Liu, Y., J. R. Key, Z. Liu, X. Wang, and S. J. Vavrus (2012). A cloudier Arctic expected with diminished sea ice. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L05705, doi:10.1029/2012GL051251, published.
CCR #1083.
Hibler, W.D., and S. Vavrus (2012). Pre-Industrial multiple equilibrium sea ice flow states due to plastic ice mechanics. Cold Regions Science and Technology, 76, 92-106, published.
CCR #1082.
de Boer, G., W. Chapman, J. Kay, B. Medeiros, M. D. Shupe, S. Vavrus, and J. Walsh (2012). A characterization of the present-day Arctic atmosphere in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 25, 2676-2695, published.
CCR #1081.
Vavrus, S., M. M. Holland, A. Jahn, D. A. Bailey, and B. A. Blazey (2012). 21st-century Arctic climate change in CCSM4. Journal of Climate, 25, 2696-2710, published.
CCR #1080. CCR #1080 PDF
Notaro, M., K. Holman, A. Zarrin, E. Fluck, S. Vavrus, and V. Bennington (2012). Influence of the Laurentian Great Lakes on regional climate. Journal of Climate, in press.
CCR #1077. CCR #1077 PDF
Kucharik, C.J., S. P. Serbin, E. J. Hopkins, S. Vavrus, and M. M. Motew (2010). Patterns of climate change across Wisconsin from 1950 to 2006. Physical Geography, 31, 1-28, published.
CCR #1056.
Vavrus, S., J. Van Dorn (2010). Projected future temperature and precipitation extremes in Chicago. J. Great Lakes Res., 36, 22-32, published.
CCR #1055.
Vavrus, S., M. M. Holland, and D. A. Bailey (2011). Changes in Arctic clouds during intervals of rapid sea ice loss. Clim. Dyn., 36, 1475-1489, published.
CCR #1054.
Ruddiman, W.F., J.E. Kutzbach, and S.J. Vavrus (2011). Falsifying explanations of Late Holocene CO2 and CH4 increases. The Holocene, 21, 865-879, published.
CCR #1053.
Cuzzone, J., and S. Vavrus (2011). The Relationships between Arctic sea ice and cloud-related variables in the ERA Interim Reanalysis and CCSM3. Env. Res. Lett., 6, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/1/014016., published.
CCR #1052.
Vavrus, S., U. S. Bhatt, and V. Alexeev (2011). Factors influencing simulated changes in future Arctic cloudiness. J. Climate, doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4029.1, published.
CCR #1051.
Vavrus, S. J., G. Philippon-Berthier, J. E. Kutzbach, W. F. Ruddiman (2011). The role of GCM resolution in simulating glacial inception. The Holocene 21 (5):819-830, published.
CCR #1039.
Kutzbach, J. E. , S. J. Vavrus, W. F. Ruddiman, G. Philippon-Berthier (2011). Comparisons of atmosphere-ocean simulations of greenhouse gas-induced climate change for pre-industrial and hypothetical 'no-anthropogenic' radiative forcing, relative to present day. The Holocene 21:793-801, published.
CCR #1038.
Ruddiman, W. F. , J.E. Kutzbach, S.J. Vavrus (2011). Can natural or anthropogenic explanations of late-Holocene CO2 and CH4 increases be falsified?. The Holocene 21(5):865-879, published.
CCR #1037.
Philippon-Berthier, G. , S. J. Vavrus, J. E. Kutzbach, W. F. Ruddiman (2010). Role of plant physiology and dynamic vegetation feedbacks in the climate response to low GHG concentrations typical of late stages of previous interglacials. Geophysical Research Letters 37.L08705, doi:10.1029/2010GL042905, published.
CCR #1036.
Kutzbach, J. E., W. F. Ruddiman, S.J. Vavrus, G. Philippon (2010). Climate model simulation of anthropogenic influence on greenhouse-induced climate change (early agriculture to modern): the role of ocean feedbacks. Climatic Change 99:351-381, published.
CCR #1034.
Vavrus, S., M. M. Holland, and D. A. Bailey (2010). Changes in Arctic clouds during intervals of rapid sea ice loss. Climate Dynamics, doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0816-0, published.
CCR #995. CCR #995 PDF
Notaro, M., D. J. Lorenz, D. Vimont, S. Vavrus, C. Kucharik, and K. Franz (2011). 21st century Wisconsin snow projections based on an operational snow model driven by statistically downscaled climate data. International Journal of Climatology, 31, 1615-1633, published.
CCR #993. CCR #993 PDF
Holland, M. M., D. A. Bailey, and S. Vavrus (2010). Inherent sea ice predictability in a rapidly changing Arctic environment of the Community Climate System Model, version 3. Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-010-0792-4, published.
CCR #989. CCR #989 PDF
Philippon-Berthier, G., S.J. Vavrus, J.E. Kutzbach,, and W.F. Ruddiman (2010). Role of plant physiology and dynamic vegetation feedbacks in the climate response to low GHG concentrations typical of late stages of previous interglacials. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L08705, published.
CCR #988. CCR #988 PDF
Kucharik, C.J., S. P. Serbin, E. J. Hopkins, S. Vavrus, and M. M. Motew (2010). Patterns of climate change across Wisconsin from 1950 to 2006. Physical Geography, 31, doi:1u.2747/0272-3646.31.1.1, published.
CCR #987. CCR #987 PDF
Vavrus, S., J. Van Dorn (2010). Projected future temperature and precipitation extremes in Chicago. Journal of Great Lakes Research, 36, 22-32, published.
CCR #986. CCR #986 PDF
Lorenz, D. J., Vavrus, S. J., Vimont, D. J., Williams, J. W., Notaro, M., Young, J. A., DeWeaver, E. T., and Hopkins, E. J. (2009). Wisconsin's changing climate: temperature. Understanding Climate Change: Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States. Edited by S. C. Pryor. Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, pp. 76-87.
CCR #841
Lorenz, D. J., Vavrus, S. J., Vimont, D. J., Williams, J. W., Notaro, M., Young, J. A., DeWeaver, E. T., and Hopkins, E. J. (2009). Wisconsin's changing climate: hydrologic cycle. Understanding Climate Change: Climate Variability, Predictability, and Change in the Midwestern United States. Edited by S. C. Pryor. Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, pp. 135-144.
CCR #839.
Kutzbach, J. E., W. L. Ruddiman, S. Vavrus, and G. Philippon (2009). Climate model test of anthropogenic influence on greenhouse-induced climate change (early agriculture to modern): the role of ocean feedbacks. Climatic Change, 99, 351-381.
CCR #941.
Hayhoe, K., D. Wuebbles, et al. (S. Vavrus, contributing author) (2008). Climate Change and Chicago: Projections and Potential Impacts. An assessment prepared for the City of Chicago.
CCR #969.
Vavrus, S., D. Waliser, A. Schweiger, and J. Francis (2008). Simulations of 20th and 21st century Arctic clouds in the global climate models assessed in the IPCC AR4. Climate Dynamics, 33, 1099-1115.
CCR #968. CCR #968 PDF
Schweiger, A., R. Lindsay, S. Vavrus, and J. Francis (2008). Relationships between Arctic sea ice and clouds during autumn. Journal of Climate, 21, 4799-4810.
CCR #967. CCR #967 PDF
Patz, J. A., S. J. Vavrus, C. K. Uejio, and S. L. McLellan (2008). Climate change and waterborne disease risk in the Great Lakes Region of the U.S. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 35, 451-458.
CCR #966. CCR #966 PDF
Vavrus, S., and D. Waliser, (2008). An improved parameterization for simulating Arctic cloud amount in the CCSM3 climate model. Journal of Climate, 21, 5673-5687.
CCR #965. CCR #965 PDF
Vavrus, S., W. L. Ruddiman, and J. E. Kutzbach (2008). Climate model tests of the anthropogenic influence on greenhouse-induced climate change: the role of early human agriculture, industrialization, and vegetation feedbacks. Quaternary Science Reviews, 13, 1410-1425, published.
CCR #963. CCR #963 PDF
Vavrus, S, (2007). The role of terrestrial snow cover in the climate system. Climate Dynamics 29(1), pgs. 73-88, doi: 10.1007/s00382-007-0226-0. PDF (from "published" page). Original Publication. This original publication is available at springerlink.com by searching for the DOI.
CCR #920.
Notaro, M., S. Vavrus, and Z. Liu (2007). Global vegetation and climate change due to future increases in CO2 as projected by a fully coupled model with dynamic vegetation. Journal of Climate, 20, 70-90.
CCR #913. CCR #913 PDF. © Copyright 1 January 2007 AMS.
Vavrus, S., J.E. Walsh, W.L. Chapman, and D. Portis (2006). The Behavior of Extreme Cold Air Outbreaks under Greenhouse Warming. International Journal of Climatology 26(9): 1133-1147. CCR #889: PDF. This is a preprint of an article published in International Journal of Climatology, published by Wiley InterScience.
Vavrus, S. (2006). An alternative method to calculate cloud radiative forcing: Implications for quantifying cloud feedbacks. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L01805, doi: 10.1029/2005GL024723. CCR #893: PDF
Vavrus, S., M. Notaro, and Z. Liu (2006). A mechanism for abrupt climate change associated with tropical Pacific SSTs. Journal of Climate 19, 242-256.
CCR #857: CCR #857 PDF. © Copyright 15 January 2006 AMS.
Liu, Z., S. Vavrus, F. He, N. Wen, and Y. Zhong (2005b). Rethinking Tropical Ocean Response to Global Warming: The Enhanced Equatorial Warming. J. Climate 18(22), 4684-4700, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI3579.1.
CCR #875: PDF. © Copyright 15 November 2005 AMS.
Notaro, M., Z. Liu, R. Gallimore, S. J. Vavrus, J. E. Kutzbach, I.C. Prentice, and R. L. Jacob (2005). Simulated and observed pre-industrial to modern vegetation and climate changes. Journal of Climate, 18(17), 3650-3671.
CCR #854. CCR #854 PDF. © Copyright 1 September 2005 AMS.
Ruddiman, W., S. Vavrus, and J.E. Kutzbach (2005). A test of overdue-glaciation
hypothesis. Quaternary Science Reviews 24(1-2), pgs. 1-10, doi: 1031016/j.quascirev.2004.07.010.
CCR #852: PDF
Yang, H., Q. Zhang, Y. Zhong, S. Vavrus, and Z. Liu (2005). How does
extratropical warming effect ENSO? Geophysical Research Letters 32,
L01702. doi: 10.1029/2004GL021624. CCR #865: PDF
Kutzbach, J.E., J. Williams, and S. Vavrus (2005). Simulated 21st century
changes in regional water balance of the Great Lakes region and links
to changes in global temperature and poleward moisture transport. Geophysical
Research Letters 32, L17707, doi: 10.1029/2005GL023506. CCR #885: PDF
Ruter, A., J. Arzt, S. Vavrus, R. A. Bryson, J. E. Kutzbach (2004).
Climate and Environment of the Tropical Americas (NH) in the mid-Holocene:
comparison of observations with climate model simulations. Quarternary
Science Reviews 23: 663-679, DOI: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2003.09.006. CCR
#823: PDF
Vavrus, S. (2004). The Impact of Cloud feedbacks on Arctic Climate
under Greenhouse Frocing. Journal of climate, 17, 603-615. CCR #825: PDF. © Copyright 1 February 2004 AMS.
Shin, S., Z. Liu, B. Otto-Bliesner, J.E. Kutzbach and S.J. Vavrus (2003).
Southern Ocean Control of the Glacial North Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation.
Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 30, No. 2, 1096, DOI:10.1029/2002GL015513,
2003 p. 68:1-68:4. CCR #769: PDF
Vavrus, S. and S. Harrison (2003). The impact of sea ice dynamics on
the arctic climate system. Climate Dynamics. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-003-0309-5,
p. 741-757 CCR #776
Preprint: PDF.
Vavrus, S. and Z. Liu (2002). Toward understanding the response of
the tropical atmosphere-ocean system to increased CO2 using equilibrium
asynchronous coupling. Climate Dynamics 19 10.1007/s00382-002-0232-1,
355-369. CCR #777
Vavrus, S. and J.E. Kutzbach. Sensitivity of the thermohaline circulation
to increased CO2 and lowered topography (2002). Geophysical Research
Letters Vol. 29, NO. 11 10.1029/2002GL014814. CCR #782
Delire, Christine, P. Behling, M.T. Coe, J.A. Foley, R. Jacob, J.Kutzbach,
Z. Liu, and S. Vavrus (2001). Simulated response of the atmosphere-ocean
system to deforestation in the Indonesian Archipelago. Geophysical Research
Letters 28(10): 2081-2084. CCR #795
Elo, Aija-Riitta and Steven Vavrus (2000). Ice modelling calculations,
comparison of the PROBE and LIMNOS models. International Assoc. of Theoretical
and Applied Limnology, 27, 2816-2819. CCR #750
Vavrus, S., R. Gallimore, and Z. Liu (2000). A mixed-flux equilibrium
asynchronous coupling scheme for accelerating convergence in ocean-atmosphere
models. Climate Dynamics, 16, 821-831. CCR #790
Vavrus, S.J. (1999). The response of the coupled arctic sea ice-atmosphere
system to orbital forcing and ice motion at 6 kyr and 115 kyr BP. Journal
of Climate 12, 873-896. CCR #736
Vavrus, S., Z. Liu, and J.E. Kutzbach (1999). The response of the tropical
ocean-atmosphere system to 3xCO2 using equilibrium asynchronous coupling.
Preprint volume of the 23rd Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology,
10-15 January 1999, Dallas, TX, by the AMS, Boston, MA. CCR #737
Walsh, S.E., S.J. Vavrus, J.A. Foley, V.A. Fisher, R.H. Wynne, and
J.D. Lenters (1998). Model patterns of lake ice phenology and climate:
Model simulations and observations. J. Geophysical Research 103(D22),
28825-28837. CCR #714
Vavrus, S.J. (1997). The effect of sea-ice parameterizations on the
simulation of Artic ice pack. Annals of Glaciology 25, 12-16. CCR #702
Vavrus, S.J., and Z. Liu (1997). Improving the simulations of sea ice
in oceanic and atmospheric GCMs. Modeling the Artic System: A workshop
report on the state of modeling in the Artic System Science Program.
ARCUS, Fairbanks, Alaska, February 1997, 39-40. CCR #697
Vavrus, S.J., R.H. Wynne, and J.A. Foley (1996). Measuring the sensitivity
of southern Wisconsin lake ice to climate variations and lake depth
using a numerical model. Limnol. Oceanogr., 41(5), 822-831. CCR #684
Vavrus, S.J. (1995). Sensitivity of the arctic climate to leads in
a coupled atmosphere-mixed layer ocean model. J.Climate 8(2), 158-171.
CCR #675
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